03/09/2020 / By Mike Adams
We are now releasing the downloadable Pandemic Projection Model (“Adams Model”) spreadsheet, Revision 2, with new features:
You can now download the spreadsheet at this link:
http://www.pandemic.news/PPM-Adams-Rev-2.zip
The file format is .xls, compatible with MS Excel and Apache Open Office (free software from Apache).
You will also need to unzip the zip file, of course, after you download it. You can use a utility like 7-zip (7-zip.org) to achieve this.
Once you download the spreadsheet, you may immediately begin altering several variables to test the outcomes they will produce. All rows showing # of infections, # of deaths, etc., are automatically updated (as in any spreadsheet based on relational formulas).
If you use this spreadsheet or cite its numbers, please give credit to Mike Adams, Pandemic.news / NaturalNews.com.
The projections of this Revision 2 spreadsheet typically do not match Revision 1, since we have simplified some of the calculations. This has resulted in typically a lower total fatality projection. One piece of good news in this projection is that if you enter an R0 value of 2.4, and use a social distancing suppression value of 25%, there are only 1.1 million deaths in the USA by July 4th.
You are free to modify the values in the spreadsheet yourself, and to republish the spreadsheet as long as you give proper credit to the author.
If you notice any calculation modeling errors in the spreadsheet, please inform us via the NaturalNews.com feedback form so we can improve it for Revision 3.
Additional assumptions in the model:
Feel free to run your own projections. Try R0 values of 3.0 or higher to see what happens (if you dare…)
Stay informed. Read Pandemic.news.
Tagged Under: coronavirus, outbreak, pandemic, Projections, scientific, Wuhan
COPYRIGHT © 2017 REAL SCIENCE NEWS